At a meeting held on 10 February 2017, the Crop Estimates Liaison Committee (CELC) oversaw the process for the finalisation of the crop production figures of commercial white and yellow maize, sunflower seed, soybeans, groundnuts and sorghum for 2016.
The estimated total production figures as released by the national Crop Estimates Committee (CEC) were revised, using the published figures of the South Africa Grain Information Services (SAGIS) of actual deliveries as the basis for the calculations. The figures from the maize utilisation survey to determine on-farm usage and retentions, which was conducted by the Department of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries (DAFF) and the telephonic survey conducted by the National Crop Statistics Consortium (NCSC), were added to the SAGIS delivery figures to calculate the final crop production figures.
Comparing the final calculated crop figures with the numbers set by the CEC during September 2016, the size of the commercial maize crop is now 7,778 million tons, which is 3,21% or 241 625 tons more than the final crop estimate figure of 7,537 million tons. For white maize, the recalculated crop size is 3,408 million tons, which is 4,76% or 154 725 tons higher than the final crop estimate figure, and for yellow maize the recalculated crop size is 4,370 million tons, which is 2,03% or 86 900 tons more than the final crop estimate figure.
In the case of commercial sunflower seed, the final calculated crop figure remained unchanged at 755 000 tons. Sorghum and groundnuts were adjusted downward by 4,92% (or 3 650 tons) and 6,21% (or 1 170 tons), respectively. The soybeans crop was slightly adjusted upward, from 741 550 tons to 742 000 tons, which is 0,06% or 450 tons.
CELC accepted the final recalculated crop production figures for 2016 (please refer to the figures in the accompanying tables).
The CEC would like to thank all producers and industry role-players who provided information on a regular basis to improve the accuracy of the crop estimates. Producers, who do not participate in the Department's monthly survey, are requested as a matter of urgency to make an effort to contribute to the crop estimates process.