Area estimate and the fifth production estimate for winter cereals (2024)
Oppervlakte- en vyfde produksieskatting vir wintergewasse (2024)
Winter cereals / Wintergewasse
Estimates courtecy of the Crop Estimates Committee
Syfers deur die Oesskattingskomitee verskaf
| Crop / Gewas | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Fifth forecast Vyfde skatting |
Fourth forecast Vierde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
Change / Verandering |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024 | 2024 | 2023 | 2023 | ||
| Ha | Tons | Tons | Ha | Tons | % | |
| (A) | (B) | (C) | (D) | (E) | (B) ÷ (C) | |
| Commercial / Kommersieël | ||||||
| Wheat / Koring | 505 300 | 1 934 990 | 1 939 640 | 537 950 | 2 050 000 | -0.24 |
| Barley / Gars | 100 700 | 377 050 | 371 535 | 107 600 | 377 000 | 1.48 |
| Canola | 165 750 | 295 445 | 295 445 | 131 200 | 236 300 | 0.00 |
| Oats / Hawer | 31 000 | 50 300 | 56 300 | 27 500 | 41 000 | -10.66 |
| Sweet lupins / Soetlupine | 16 000 | 19 200 | 19 200 | 16 000 | 16 000 | 0.00 |
| Total winter / Totaal winter | 818 750 | 2 676 985 | 2 682 120 | 820 250 | 2 720 300 | -0.19 |
* Commercial only. Excluding barley or oats used as pasture, silage, hay and/or on the farm as fodder for livestock. / Slegs kommersieël. Uitgesluit gars of hawer wat gebruik word as weiding, kuilvoer, hooi en/of op die plaas as voer vir vee.
| Province / Provinsie | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Fifth forecast Vyfde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024 | 2023 | 2023 | |
| Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | |
| Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | 368 000 | 1 085 600 | 365 000 | 1 084 000 |
| Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | 38 000 | 292 600 | 40 000 | 292 000 |
| Free State / Vrystaat | 49 000 | 222 950 | 72 000 | 280 800 |
| Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | 5 000 | 34 500 | 6 300 | 40 555 |
| KwaZulu-Natal | 8 300 | 52 290 | 8 500 | 56 100 |
| Mpumalanga | 3 500 | 24 500 | 4 200 | 27 720 |
| Limpopo | 20 500 | 141 450 | 30 000 | 195 000 |
| Gauteng | 1 000 | 6 700 | 950 | 6 175 |
| North West / Noordwes | 12 000 | 74 400 | 11 000 | 67 650 |
| Total / Totaal | 505 300 | 1 934 990 | 537 950 | 2 050 000 |
Production 2015-2024 Produksie
Production 2015-2024 Produksie
Production 2015-2024 Produksie
Winter cereal crops / Wintergewasse
Area estimate and fifth production forecast for 2024 / Oppervlakte- en vyfde produksieskatting vir 2024
Winter cereal crops – 2024
Wheat
The expected production of wheat is 1,935 million tons, which is 0,24% or 4 650 tons less than the previous forecast of 1,940 million tons, whilst the expected yield is 3,83 t/ha.
The expected production in the Western Cape is 1,086 million tons (56%), which is 1,67% or 18 400 tons less than the previous forecast of 1,104 million tons. In the Northern Cape, 292 600 tons (15%) is expected to be produced – 2,67% or 7 600 tons more than the previous forecast of 285 000 tons. In the Free State, the expected production is 222 950 tons (12%) – unchanged from the previous forecast.
The area estimate for wheat is 505 300 ha, of which an estimated 368 000 ha or 73% is planted in the Western Cape, 49 000 ha or 10 % in the Free State and 38 000 ha or 8 % in the Northern Cape.
Other crops
The production forecast for barley is 377 050 tons, which is 1,48% or 5 515 tons more than the previous month's crop of 371 535 tons. The area planted is estimated at 100 700 ha, while the expected yield is 3,74 t/ha.
The expected canola crop remained unchanged at 295 445 tons. The area estimate for canola is 165 750 ha, with an expected yield of 1,78 t/ha.
The expected crop for oats for the 2024 season is 50 300 tons and the area planted is 31 000 ha. The expected yield is 1,62 t/ha.
In the case of sweet lupines, the production forecast is 19 200 tons. The area estimate of sweet lupines is 16 000 ha, with an expected yield of 1,20 t/ha.
Please note that the sixth production forecast for winter cereals for 2024 will be released on 28 January 2025.
Information is available online at the Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development or SAGIS, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.
Wintergewasse – 2024
Koring
Die verwagte produksie vir koring is 1,935 miljoen ton, wat 0,24% of 4 650 ton minder is as die vorige skatting van 1,940 miljoen ton, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,83 t/ha is.
Die verwagte produksie in die Wes-Kaap is 1,086 miljoen ton (56%), wat 1,67% of 18 400 ton minder is as die vorige skatting van 1,104 miljoen ton. In die Noord-Kaap is die verwagte produksie 292 600 ton (15%) – 2,67% of 7 600 ton meer as die vorige skatting van 285 000 ton. In die Vrystaat is die verwagte produksie 222 950 ton (12%) – onveranderd van die vorige maand se skatting.
Die oppervlakteskatting vir koring is 505 300 ha, waarvan 'n geraamde 368 000 ha of 73% in die Wes-Kaap geplant is, 49 000 ha of 10% in die Vrystaat en 38 000 ha of 8 % in die Noord-Kaap.
Ander gewasse
Die produksieskatting vir gars is 377 050 ton, wat 1,48% of 5 515 ton meer is as die vorige maand se skatting van 371 535 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant word beraam op 100 700 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,74 t/ha beloop.
Die verwagte canola-oes is onveranderd gelaat op 295 445 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir canola is 165 750 ha, met 'n verwagte opbrengs van 1,78 t/ha.
Die verwagte oes vir hawer vir die 2024-seisoen is 50 300 ton en die oppervlakteskatting is 31 000 ha. Die verwagte opbrengs is 1,62 t/ha.
In die geval van soetlupine is die produksieskatting 19 200 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant met soetlupine is 16 000 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,20 t/ha.
Neem asseblief kennis dat die sesde produksieskatting vir wintergewasse vir 2024 op 28 Januarie 2025 vrygestel sal word.
Inligting is beskikbaar aanlyn by die Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development of by SAGIS, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.
CONFIDENTIALITY ISSUES that CEC members are committed to adhere to on the day of the meeting
- Personal items such as laptops, handbags, cell phones, etc. are not allowed in the venue during the meeting.
- No member is allowed to leave the meeting before 12:00 in order to prevent disclosure of the information. The embargo time for the release of crop estimates information is 14:30.
- No member is allowed to discuss crop estimates information with anyone other than a member of the Committee before the embargo time. Only the Chairperson, or a member appointed by the Chairperson, may release the figures to the media.
- Members must regard the detail of any information that was collected for and/or discussed during the meeting, as confidential. Individual information received for crop estimate purposes is treated strictly confidential, and is not divulged for any other purposes.